The Small Business Administration (SBA) continues to grapple with the complexities of managing its COVID-19 Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL) Program, revealing significant charge-offs and oversight gaps. As small businesses face mounting financial challenges and a Trump 2.0 administration looming in January 2025, understanding the evolving SBA landscape is critical for borrowers, obligors and guarantors.

SBA’s COVID-Era Loan Performance and Challenges
The SBA reported $18.6 billion in charge-offs from its COVID-EIDL program for fiscal year 2024, reflecting 6.5% of the active portfolio. While this is a reduction from the $52 billion in charge-offs during fiscal 2023, it remains significantly higher than he charge-off rates of other SBA programs, such as 7(a) loans (below 1%) and 504 loans (below 0.5%).
This high rate has raised questions about the sustainability of the COVID-EIDL program and the adequacy of SBA oversight. Audits by the Office of Inspector General (OIG) and KPMG revealed issues such as monitoring deficiencies, financial reporting weaknesses, and outdated servicing policies. These gaps have fueled concerns about long-term accountability and the SBA’s ability to support struggling borrowers effectively.

The Hardship Accommodation Program (HAP): A Lifeline or Temporary Fix?
To assist borrowers, the SBA expanded its Hardship Accommodation Program (HAP), which offers temporary payment relief. Key features include:
· Eligibility: Enrollment for businesses with loans under $200,000.
· Reduced Payments: Initial rounds require only 10% of monthly payments,increasing to 50% and 75% in subsequent rounds for up to five cycles.
· Loan Reclassification: Loans enrolled in HAP are reclassified as performing, potentially lowering default statistics.
However, critics warn that HAP may delay inevitable defaults as interest accrues during reduced-payment periods, exacerbating long-term debt burdens for borrowers.

Potential Shifts Under a Trump 2.0 Administration
With a Trump 2.0 administration taking office in January 2025, SBA policies could undergo significant changes:
· Tighter Oversight: High COVID-EIDL charge-offs may prompt stricter compliance requirements and loan eligibility criteria to prevent further losses.
· Program Reforms: Existing SBA loan programs like 7(a) and 504 could see restructuring to enhance sustainability and reduce taxpayer risk.
· Aggressive Collections: A more assertive approach to recovering debts, particularly from delinquent borrowers and guarantors, might emerge as a fiscal priority.
Trump’s business-friendly stance could also lead to broader access to capital and settlement options, but likely with enhanced scrutiny of borrower accountability.

Implications for Borrowers with Other SBA Loans
Borrowers with 7(a), 504, or traditional disaster loans may experience indirect effects of heightened COVID-EIDL scrutiny:
· Increased Compliance: More audits and stricter documentation requirements could complicate loan applications and renewals.
· Less Leniency: Unlike HAP’s flexibility, non-COVID SBA loans may face stricter repayment demands or accelerated collection efforts.
· Treasury Referrals: Borrowers and guarantors with delinquent loans could see their debts referred to the Treasury Department, triggering aggressive measures such as administrative offsets, garnishments, referral to Private Collection Agencies, lawsuits or foreclosure actions by the Department of Justice's Financial Litigation Unit.
Opportunities for Offers in Compromise (OIC) and Workouts
Given the financial strain on small businesses, the SBA’s willingness to approve OICs, workouts,and settlements might expand, particularly under a Trump 2.0 administration prioritizing efficiency and deregulation. Borrowers and guarantors could benefit from:
· Settlements: Cash or Term OICs could become more accessible for guarantors proving financial hardship.
· Structured Workouts: Extensions on loan terms, reduced interest rates, or deferments may help borrowers avoid defaults while keeping businesses operational.
· Streamlined Approvals: Simplified processes for small-dollar settlements could expedite debt resolution for both borrowers and the SBA.
However, the SBA might also tighten eligibility criteria for settlements, requiring more thorough documentation and good-faith efforts to repay – especially if Trump nominee, Kelly Loeffler, takes the same approach that Besty Devos did with the Borrower Defense Rule and delinquent Department of Education student loans that were procured due to fraud by for-profit educational institutions.
Proactive Steps for Borrowers & Guarantors
Borrowers should consider taking the following actions to prepare for potential policy shifts and protect their financial stability:
1. Review Loan Agreements: Ensure compliance with terms to avoid default or collection escalation.
2. Engage with the SBA: Monitor communications and respond promptly to notices or program changes.
3. Consult Qualified Experts: Seek Certified Public Accountants or Lawyers authorized to practice before the SBA pursuant to the Federal Agency Practice Act to explore options like OICs, workouts, or bankruptcy, where applicable.
4. Stay Informed: Track developments in SBA policies and broader economic trends to anticipate changes.
Conclusion
The SBA’s challenges with the COVID-EIDL program offer lessons for future disaster relief efforts and highlight the importance of robust oversight. With potential shifts in SBA policies under a new Trump administration, small businesses should be vigilant, proactive, and informed. Whether through expanded settlement options or stricter debt recovery measures, borrowers should plan and prepare for a changing landscape in 2025 and the next 4 years.
This blog post is intended to provide general guidance and is not a substitute for professional legal advice.
Related reading
Published by Protect Law Group. This material provides general information and is not legal advice. Laws, agency policies, procedures, and relevant facts can change. Available options depend on your loan documents, collection status, deadlines, and individual circumstances. Schedule a consultation for an up-to-date, situation-specific analysis of your case. Reading this material does not create an attorney-client relationship.
Schedule a Consultation